{"id":960,"date":"2020-06-24T12:51:37","date_gmt":"2020-06-24T09:51:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/?p=960"},"modified":"2020-06-24T12:51:38","modified_gmt":"2020-06-24T09:51:38","slug":"ce-reprezinta-numarul-de-reproductie-r-al-coronavirusului","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/2020\/06\/24\/ce-reprezinta-numarul-de-reproductie-r-al-coronavirusului\/","title":{"rendered":"Ce reprezint\u0103 num\u0103rul de reproduc\u021bie R al coronavirusului"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

R reprezint\u0103 indicele de reproduc\u021bie care arat\u0103 m\u0103sura \u00een care virusul se r\u0103sp\u00e2nde\u0219te \u00een societate la un anumit moment. Un indice de reproduc\u021bie peste 1 indic\u0103 o cre\u0219tere a num\u0103rului de cazuri \u00een urm\u0103toarele 7-14 zile. Acest indice e propor\u021bional cu num\u0103rul de contac\u021bi (reflectat de mobilitate) \u0219i cu probabilitatea de transmisie la fiecare contact (sc\u0103zut\u0103 c\u00e2nd se poart\u0103 masc\u0103 \u0219i se respect\u0103 m\u0103surile de distan\u021bare \u0219i de igien\u0103). De asemenea, acest indice e propor\u021bional cu propor\u021bia susceptibil\u0103 (non-imun\u0103) a popula\u021biei, care \u00een Europa de Est e \u00eenc\u0103 mult peste 90%. \u00cencep\u00e2nd cu 1 iunie, toate \u021b\u0103rile din aceast\u0103 zon\u0103, cu excep\u021bia Ungariei, prezint\u0103 indici peste 1. C\u00e2nd \u201eR\u201d este sub 1 atunci epidemia scade, iar c\u00e2nd \u201eR\u201d este aproximativ 1, zilnic apare un num\u0103r aproape egal de cazuri noi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00cen prezent,valoarea \u00een Rom\u00e2nia a lui R = 0.98.<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pentru calcularea indicelui R sunt necesare durata de incuba\u021bie, durata de la apari\u021bia simptomelor la raportarea cazurilor, precum \u0219i timpul de transmisie de la caz la urm\u0103torii pacien\u021bi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Proiec\u021biile pentru urm\u0103toarele dou\u0103 luni \u00een Rom\u00e2nia au fost f\u0103cute folosind poten\u021biale scenarii de transmisibilitate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Studiul este realizat de statisticianul Valentin P\u00e2rvu \u0219i dr. Emilian Popovici, vicepre\u0219edinte al Societ\u0103\u021bii Rom\u00e2ne de Epidemiologie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Num\u0103rul de reproduc\u021bie R pe jude\u021be:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.graphs.ro\/covid_r_ann_judete.php<\/a><\/p>

\"www.fiipregatit.ro\"<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

R reprezint\u0103 indicele de reproduc\u021bie care arat\u0103 m\u0103sura \u00een care virusul se r\u0103sp\u00e2nde\u0219te \u00een societate la un anumit moment. Un indice de reproduc\u021bie peste 1 indic\u0103 o cre\u0219tere a num\u0103rului de cazuri \u00een urm\u0103toarele 7-14 zile. Acest indice e propor\u021bional cu num\u0103rul de contac\u021bi (reflectat de mobilitate) \u0219i cu probabilitatea de transmisie la fiecare contact […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":961,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_regular_price":[],"currency_symbol":[],"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-960","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"post_slider_layout_featured_media_urls":{"thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Indice-R-tara-150x127.png",150,127,true],"post_slider_layout_landscape_large":["https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Indice-R-tara.png",948,800,false],"post_slider_layout_portrait_large":["https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Indice-R-tara.png",1003,846,false],"post_slider_layout_square_large":["https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Indice-R-tara.png",1003,846,false],"post_slider_layout_landscape":["https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Indice-R-tara.png",474,400,false],"post_slider_layout_portrait":["https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Indice-R-tara.png",600,506,false],"post_slider_layout_square":["https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Indice-R-tara.png",600,506,false],"full":["https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Indice-R-tara.png",1003,846,false]},"modified_by":"Stanciu Silviu","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/960","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=960"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/960\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":962,"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/960\/revisions\/962"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/961"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=960"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=960"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dspvn.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=960"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}